
### Ernst’s Political Background and Platform
Ernst, 52, is a retired lieutenant colonel in the Iowa National Guard who served in Iraq and Kuwait. She was elected to the U.S. Senate in 2014 and has quickly become a prominent voice within the Republican Party. Ernst is known for her conservative views on issues such as abortion, gun rights, and immigration. She is also a strong advocate for the military and veterans.
### Cotton’s Incumbency and Challenges
Cotton, 44, is a two-term senator who is known for his hawkish foreign policy views. He is a close ally of President Trump and has been a vocal critic of President Biden’s administration. Cotton is considered a potential presidential candidate in 2024, but he has faced some challenges recently, including a decline in his approval ratings in Arkansas.
### The Senate GOP Leadership Race
The Senate GOP leadership race will be closely watched as Republicans seek to regain control of the chamber in the 2022 midterm elections. The top three leadership positions are currently held by Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY), Minority Whip John Thune (R-SD), and Chairman of the Republican Policy Committee John Cornyn (R-TX).
### Ernst’s Chances of Success
Ernst is considered an underdog in the race against Cotton, but she has a strong base of support among Trump supporters and conservative activists. If she can rally these voters, she could challenge Cotton’s hold on the third-ranking leadership position. However, Cotton has the advantage of incumbency and the support of many establishment Republicans.
### Takeaways and Predictions
The race between Ernst and Cotton is likely to be a heated one that will test the strength of the Trump wing of the Republican Party. If Ernst is able to defeat Cotton, it would be a major upset and a sign that the Trump movement remains a powerful force in the GOP. However, Cotton is a formidable opponent, and the race is likely to come down to the wire.
Candidate | Party | Political Background | Current Position |
---|---|---|---|
Joni Ernst | Republican | Retired Lt. Col. in the Iowa National Guard, served in Iraq and Kuwait | U.S. Senator (IA) since 2014 |
Tom Cotton | Republican | Two-term U.S. Senator from Arkansas | Chairman of the Republican Policy Committee |
